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Other Raw-Animal-Food Diets (eg:- Primal Diet/Raw Version of Weston-Price Diet etc.) => Primal Diet => Topic started by: michaelwh on April 14, 2010, 11:51:53 pm
Title: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: michaelwh on April 14, 2010, 11:51:53 pm
He's been a primal dieter for 12 years, and has 2 videos about it. One of the videos was just posted a few days ago.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 15, 2010, 09:50:43 am
I like this guy.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: goodsamaritan on April 15, 2010, 10:12:08 am
We should all make our own videos.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: KD on April 15, 2010, 10:30:30 am
not that I'm shocked by anything anymore, but its hard to imagine anyone commenting negatively about this peaceful, stable and extremely healthy/young looking person especially for his preexisting health issues/surgeries, age, and musicians' lifestyle. Its really lose-lose for agitated dumasses and their theories.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: goodsamaritan on April 15, 2010, 11:30:41 am
We have to flood you tube with raw paleo dieters / raw meat eaters.
Show our numbers.
It is time.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: sven on April 16, 2010, 06:40:41 am
we should keep this diet a secret and let everyone else have bad health :P
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 16, 2010, 04:15:09 pm
we should keep this diet a secret and let everyone else have bad health :P
Admittedly, I do experience a bit of Schadenfreude when I think of the fact that in a few years I will be at the point where everyone else on SAD diets etc., is going to be starting to experience all sorts of health-problems linked to heat-created toxins such as AGEs. I've already seen some people age faster than others and so on. While I will be free of heart-disease and still be able to walk up steep steps with ease at the age of 70 or even 100. I've noticed that, in my own garden in Italy, virtually all the older people who go there who are above 70 have such fouled-up joints with not enough lubricating fluid in them etc., that they cannot climb up the very steep steps without taking pain-killers once or twice every single day.
On the other hand, I am quite well aware that vastly increasing the number of rawpalaeodieters would inevitably create a larger target-market which farmers could single out, thus making it much easier for me to find sources of raw marrow/suet and other unusual organs/items which are these days just thrown away due to lack of demand. This would also lead to lower prices as the choices widen.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: sven on April 16, 2010, 05:51:57 pm
Congrats to the guy on youtube for achieving better health.
On the other hand, I am quite well aware that vastly increasing the number of rawpalaeodieters would inevitably create a larger target-market which farmers could single out, thus making it much easier for me to find sources of raw marrow/suet and other unusual organs/items which are these days just thrown away due to lack of demand. This would also lead to lower prices as the choices widen.
Never thought of it this way, I like the idea.
unfortunatley Schadenfreude is the best way to describe how I feel about the way I'm eating now. My friends always look puzzled when I'm exploding with energy and they burn out quickly. On top of being burned out all my friends are in their early 20s and when you have low energy at that age you know something is wrong. They've seen me eat raw and are completely fascinated and respect it very much but 95% of people I know would NEVER adopt a raw food diet. But like a good friend I told them what has made the difference in my life(diet), I have had 2 people who are starting to eat raw meat like I do and are noticing some of the benefits. It really takes a certain rare type of person to take the first few steps in eating raw so this diet won't get too popular anytime soon. More of the population eating raw would be nice, however it is something that makes me and everyone on this forum very unique and different from everyone else. So it's nice to be unique and not following the rest of the herd. Sucks for everyone else :)
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 16, 2010, 06:33:03 pm
I don't think more people doing a raw diet would lower prices. Maybe in an area where there is little demand for some things more people would help bring those things into production, but at a certain point there are limiting factors. The biggest being grassfed meats. There is only so much of that the world can produce, and if many people start consuming it the price will sky rocket. It's already at least twice as expensive as grain fed meat, imagine if it was totally mainstream. Sure more farmers could produce it, but for all the bad things about grain agriculture the one thing that is true is that it produces more meat with less land in less time for less money. In addition every year less land is available because of non-agricultural factors like residential development. I do not see prices of grass fed meats, the staple of a raw paleo diet, coming down ever, only going up.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 16, 2010, 10:37:41 pm
I don't think more people doing a raw diet would lower prices. Maybe in an area where there is little demand for some things more people would help bring those things into production, but at a certain point there are limiting factors. The biggest being grassfed meats. There is only so much of that the world can produce, and if many people start consuming it the price will sky rocket. It's already at least twice as expensive as grain fed meat, imagine if it was totally mainstream. Sure more farmers could produce it, but for all the bad things about grain agriculture the one thing that is true is that it produces more meat with less land in less time for less money. In addition every year less land is available because of non-agricultural factors like residential development. I do not see prices of grass fed meats, the staple of a raw paleo diet, coming down ever, only going up.
Most raw organ-meats like eyes, suet etc. etc. are simply thrown away in most cases. More RPDers in a community would mean those foods would not go to waste. I also heavily disagree with the notion that feeding animals grain means less land is used - by definition, the planting of the grains for the cattle, in the first place means a lot of land is completely used up, even if the cattle are kept indoors in a small shed. Plus, grainfeeding involves smaller profit-margins because of the expensive medicines/vaccines etc. those farmers have to give their cattle as the cattle have weaker immune-systems and otherwise succumb to disease.
And there is no likelihood that the majority of people would go rawpalaeo for obvious reasons. Certainly 10% of the population in Western countries could easily go rpd without a major change in prices.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: goodsamaritan on April 17, 2010, 05:53:59 pm
10% of the western population. That's a pretty big market. This forum could massively explode to hundreds of thousands of users. We should all profit from this some how. We could write books. Be given plaques or statues in recognition of... as founders /pioneers of the raw paleo forum... etc. etc. For re-discovering the original diet of humanity...
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 17, 2010, 09:45:08 pm
This was taken from a food revolution website: "Traditionally, all beef was grass-fed beef, but in the United States today what is commercially available is almost all feedlot beef. The reason? It's faster, and so more profitable. Seventy-five years ago, steers were 4 or 5 years old at slaughter. Today, they are 14 or 16 months. You can't take a beef calf from a birth weight of 80 pounds to 1,200 pounds in a little more than a year on grass. It takes enormous quantities of corn, protein supplements, antibiotics and other drugs, including growth hormones."
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 18, 2010, 01:34:06 am
I quite agree that grainfed meat appears to bring in bigger profits in the short-term. But as your above quote suggests, there is a lot of additional expense in the form of corn-feed/antibiotics/drugs etc. etc. Plus, since grainfed cattle are far more prone to disease, it can get even worse for the farmer; current regulations in the UK, for example, demand that an entire herd gets slaughtered immediately if just 1 or 2 of the animals get infected with some disease(ever since BSE regulations).
I talked to a grassfed meat farmer some time back who told me that something like 2-3 years was needed for a cow to build up enough fat on a grassfed diet.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 18, 2010, 02:01:24 am
Of course I think grass fed is better for everyone, but farmers wouldn't be switching to grain (which they have to buy) and all the drugs (again, another expense) if it wasn't bringing in more profit to offset those costs. Even beyond the longer raising time there is the issue that more calories can be grown in the same amount of land with grains rather than grass. This is the same reason grain eating cultures could take over hunter gatherer cultures, they could feed larger standing armies by growing more food in their land.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 18, 2010, 05:15:39 am
On the other hand, I am quite well aware that vastly increasing the number of rawpalaeodieters would inevitably create a larger target-market which farmers could single out, thus making it much easier for me to find sources of raw marrow/suet and other unusual organs/items which are these days just thrown away due to lack of demand. This would also lead to lower prices as the choices widen.
Many of the farmers who throw away organs will give them away free. I have benefited from some of these free organs myself, including free elk liver! How could the prices be lowered below free? Unfortunately, I don't currently have the capacity to store large amounts of free organs and don't venture out to the farm areas often, so more markets carrying organs would improve convenience, but the price couldn't go below free.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Ioanna on April 18, 2010, 05:50:33 am
i've definitely benefited from the low demand for fat and organs and other scraps that i use for dog food. even the meats (ground or whole cuts) are comparable to (often lower here) whole foods prices that are not even 100% grass-fed.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 18, 2010, 05:30:31 pm
Many of the farmers who throw away organs will give them away free. I have benefited from some of these free organs myself, including free elk liver! How could the prices be lowered below free? Unfortunately, I don't currently have the capacity to store large amounts of free organs and don't venture out to the farm areas often, so more markets carrying organs would improve convenience, but the price couldn't go below free.
I have sometimes gotten such foods for free. But only very occasionally; if I made it part of a regular order, they would always sooner or later charge a price for such throwaway organs. And most farmers I talk to can't be bothered to give even the organs away for free even if they don't use them, as it takes time to cut the organs from the meats(farmers now have to pay 2 inspectors in the UK to vet their meats re health, so the longer the animal takes to get cut up(re getting extra organs out etc.), the more the farmers have to pay these inspectors, and it's just not worth it for them, since organs are much cheaper than muscle-meats and therefore bring in less profit.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 18, 2010, 05:40:16 pm
Of course I think grass fed is better for everyone, but farmers wouldn't be switching to grain (which they have to buy) and all the drugs (again, another expense) if it wasn't bringing in more profit to offset those costs. Even beyond the longer raising time there is the issue that more calories can be grown in the same amount of land with grains rather than grass. This is the same reason grain eating cultures could take over hunter gatherer cultures, they could feed larger standing armies by growing more food in their land.
The grainfed farmers do not necessarily bring in more of a profit, they just get their money at an earlier date; grassfed farmers get the money later but get far better profits than grainfed-meat farmers. Humans are not terribly bright or wise and, according to some studies I've seen, are more often prepared to accept a smaller amount of money given to them after a short period, than a much larger sum of money given to them after a much longer period. And, like I said, there is the issue of outbreaks of disease such as bluebottle/bse, which mean entire herds of grainfed cattle routinely get ordered to be wiped out if just 1 animal in the herd gets infected. So, there are other ways for the grainfed-meat farmer to lose money big-time.
There are other examples than just grassfed/grainfed meats. There are whiskies which are matured for up to 22 years before being sold. There's still a healthy market for such kinds of whisky, despite most manufacturers preferring to let whiskies mature for much shorter periods than that.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 19, 2010, 12:12:34 am
It's called volume and economies of scale. Volume generally produces more profits. It's why McDonald's restaurants are generally more profitable than expensive gourmet restaurants.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 19, 2010, 01:10:58 am
So what you're saying is that the reason why grass fed meats are more expensive than grain fed has nothing to do with resources of raising the animals to obtain the meat, but is just arbitrarily higher because the farmers know they can get away with charging people who choose grass fed more?
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 19, 2010, 05:04:43 am
So what you're saying is that the reason why grass fed meats are more expensive than grain fed has nothing to do with resources of raising the animals to obtain the meat, but is just arbitrarily higher because the farmers know they can get away with charging people who choose grass fed more?
I would agree that maintaining grassfed cattle doesn't require much cash; after all one only has to leave them out to graze constantly, with little or no money needed for medicines. But they do deserve to get more cash per kilo anyway as the grassfed meat they provide does indeed have a higher nutrient-value than grainfed meats.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 19, 2010, 05:05:51 am
It's called volume and economies of scale. Volume generally produces more profits. It's why McDonald's restaurants are generally more profitable than expensive gourmet restaurants.
McDonald's have a wider customer-base and they use chemicals etc, so as to increase profits.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 19, 2010, 07:10:49 am
McDonald's have a wider customer-base and they use chemicals etc, so as to increase profits.
Correct, and factory farms also have a wider customer-base and use chemicals, etc. so as to increase profits, and McDonald's buys their meat from factory farms. Noticing a trend here?
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 19, 2010, 09:26:55 am
You just said with farming that the chemicals are another cost and therefore make it more expensive.
Actually, feedlot cattle have almost no profit margin at all. Grass-fed have a much higher profit margin. I think that the beef cattle farmers are really taking a hit these last few years, as grain-fed feedlot cows are the norm here. Give it a few more years, it will turn back the other direction.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 19, 2010, 04:18:13 pm
You just said with farming that the chemicals are another cost and therefore make it more expensive.
I meant that McDonald's is not a farmer/producer but exists at the retail stage, so it's a quite different situation. The farmers need to pump their cattle with many expensive drugs/medicines etc. so lose money. McDonald's uses chemicals to alter the taste to trick their customers into liking their produce, and to help preserve meats for longer, and so on.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 20, 2010, 05:46:36 am
Actually, feedlot cattle have almost no profit margin at all. Grass-fed have a much higher profit margin. I think that the beef cattle farmers are really taking a hit these last few years, as grain-fed feedlot cows are the norm here. Give it a few more years, it will turn back the other direction.
Yes, the margins are small, though there is some profit margin, especially with added subsidies, tax credits, etc. they probably get from the US gov't (if there was no profit at all they couldn't stay in business). That's why I said they make their profit on volume, not margin. Same with McDonald's.
I meant that McDonald's is not a farmer/producer but exists at the retail stage, so it's a quite different situation. The farmers need to pump their cattle with many expensive drugs/medicines etc. so lose money.
Small farmers often lose money when they use modern farming methods, yes, and grassfed is more profitable for small farmers, if their pasture is good enough and large enough. Factory farms are the ones that make money using modern methods, again with the help of the governments they pay off with lobbying money, of course (if they weren't making a profit in the long run even with gov't help, they'd go out of business).
Quote
McDonald's uses chemicals to alter the taste to trick their customers into liking their produce, and to help preserve meats for longer, and so on.
Correct. They are always looking to sell more food and to more customers and to cut costs. Large corporations almost invariably focus on volume and cost cutting, whereas smaller family operations tend to focus on quality (with exceptions in both instances, of course). This is a good reason why you should get your food from small family farms and markets and gourmet family restaurants rather than big corporations.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 20, 2010, 05:02:45 pm
Actually, in the UK, there have been big scandals because the British government has (deliberately?) failed to pay the farmers their subsidies on time, and it seems that they heavily depend on regular payments as many have gone out of business. Similiarly, due to competition, prices for commercial pasteurised (grainfed-derived)dairy are now so low that small farmers simply cannot make a profit any more and sell at cost(this doesn't apply to grassfed, unpasteurised dairy from smaller farmers as they don't then have to buy equipment for pasteurisation and prices for quality milk are higher).
Of course, it's a bit ridiculous that the Minister in charge of agriculture is a vegetarian, last I checked, and clueless and uncaring re the meat-side of farming. I think he's anti-hunting too which is anathema to farmers.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 20, 2010, 06:23:49 pm
The thing being ignored in this discussion is the fact that there isn't enough grazing land to replace grain agriculture with grass fed agriculture to feed the world's population. More calories are derived from land per area with grains than with grass. The farmers that have enough private land (pretty rare as many operations have switched to grain and have land specifically sized and set up for that production) might do better switching, again because of the inflated price of grass fed because it's in fashion like organic was a few years ago. But most operations would not be able to keep half of their cattle numbers with their current land, the cattle would starve. If you don't grow enough grain you can always buy some, but what do you do when there isn't enough grass? Buy some? You need large plots of land. There is a certain capacity to grow the industry with unused grass fields, but once those are mostly used up by newly forming grass fed operations, the costs of production will sky rocket as it will entail optaining land, which is one of the most expensive resources to obtain.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 20, 2010, 11:12:26 pm
The trouble is that the grains-production requires land. Granted it would be more calorie-intensive than grass, perhaps, in an unhealthy sort of way, but that's all. You're also forgetting that grainfeeding is a mainly western practice with 3rd world nations still feeding their animals mostly on grass. The only solution really is to lower the world population.
Anyway, when I was talking about increasing the rpd community in size I didn't mean converting the entire world, just a number as high as the number of vegetarians in the world or less. That is easily sustainable. After all, a rawpalaeo community wouldn't eat any junk-foods/cereals or smoke tobacco etc. so vast areas given over to factories for such items could be switched to become grassland for cattle etc.
Also, plenty of land that is unsuitable for growing grains is still fine for growing grass(eg:- mountainous areas).
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 21, 2010, 07:28:13 am
...small farmers simply cannot make a profit any more
Correct, that's my point. The system works to promote large factory farms and puts more and more small farmers out of business so that only those small farmers that revert to old grassfed, organic methods and charge premium prices can survive. My grandfather resisted the modern methods and would have gotten a kick out of seeing farmers go back to the old ways and give it a fancy name like "organic," when it used to be just ordinary farming.
Quote
Of course, it's a bit ridiculous that the Minister in charge of agriculture is a vegetarian, last I checked, and clueless and uncaring re the meat-side of farming. I think he's anti-hunting too which is anathema to farmers.
The thing being ignored in this discussion is the fact that there isn't enough grazing land to replace grain agriculture with grass fed agriculture to feed the world's population.
Correct. As Tyler has mentioned, many of the problems that combine to make it impossible for all humanity to eat Paleo-type diets stem from overpopulation.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Paleo Donk on April 21, 2010, 09:56:41 am
Correct. As Tyler has mentioned, many of the problems that combine to make it impossible for all humanity to eat Paleo-type diets stem from overpopulation.
How are you so sure about this. Have you done the math? It shouldn't really take that much work to find out how much land used for grain we could convert to grass fed animals. There is an excerpt in Vegetarian Myth that covers this and I remember I did some quick math and it seemed like we would have enough land to cover the worlds population with raw paleo. Though she did have at least one numerical mistake and she even said the population could only be 650 million or so. I'll look up that passage where she goes over calories per acre and give you guys an estimate based on that sometime soon.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 21, 2010, 10:15:41 am
How are you so sure about this. Have you done the math? It shouldn't really take that much work to find out how much land used for grain we could convert to grass fed animals. There is an excerpt in Vegetarian Myth that covers this and I remember I did some quick math and it seemed like we would have enough land to cover the worlds population with raw paleo. Though she did have at least one numerical mistake and she even said the population could only be 650 million or so.
Um, that's pretty darned close to my guesstimate (around 500 million or so; at most a billion if lots of compromises are made), so why are you acting like you're disagreeing with me when we clearly agree? What am I missing here?
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: KD on April 21, 2010, 10:22:23 am
I read somewhere once that it is believed there would be enough land in Australia alone to house the entire current population with their own small plots of land. I find this difficult to believe, and perhaps this was just some kooks opinion as I have no reliable source, BUT I think one would be surprised how badly land is misused all around the world. How much is suitable for returning to pastureland, in the first few generations anyway, I do not know.
I also agree that one shouldn't try to save everyone with this diet, as even with the knowledge many couldn't be forced to do so, or even acknowledge and change their worst of habits.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Paleo Donk on April 21, 2010, 10:32:28 am
Um, that's pretty darned close to my guesstimate (around 500 million or so; at most a billion if lots of compromises are made), so why are you acting like you're disagreeing with me when we clearly agree? What am I missing here?
How did you come up with this estimate? You didn't read my post carefully enough. 650 million is not my estimate its Lierre Kieth's. Though she had an example in her book that broke down calories per acre. I then calculated from this that it would be possible to feed the worlds population, but this was a month ago and I forgot what the exact numbers were but I'll look it up soon and get that estimate.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 21, 2010, 11:14:33 am
OK, thanks. I didn't come up with the estimate myself, actually. I think it was Dr. Cordain and some anthropologists who came up with numbers around 500 million, but it was a while ago and I don't remember. I vaguely remember basically stretching it upward to 1 billion after discussing it with people here and taking into account their suggestions of how humanity might use some ingenuity and compromises to enable maybe a billion to eat near-Paleo. Unfortunately, whether it's 500 million or 650 million or a billion is pretty academic, because any of these figures are way less than what we've got already and the world cannot voluntarily and peacefully get back down to those numbers in my lifetime. We discussed it pretty thoroughly in an old thread and I'm too tired and uninterested in the numbers right now to debate it, but I'll check out Lierre's calculations when you post them. It's interesting that she came up with a similar number to the numbers I had seen before. Didn't Tyler mention 500 million recently too or am I dreaming?
I also agree that one shouldn't try to save everyone with this diet, as even with the knowledge many couldn't be forced to do so, or even acknowledge and change their worst of habits.
Yeah, I have no interest in saving everyone (it's a futile endeavor anyway and the current powers that be are mainly pushing things in the wrong direction--such as the nut in the UK who wants to force vegetarianism), and I have zero interest in forcing anyone. My focus is on myself and my close relatives and friends.
However, sometimes I get the impression that Tyler's going to become world dictator and sterilize everyone with an IQ lower than his, though. ;) (Just kidding)
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: wodgina on April 21, 2010, 11:28:51 am
I read somewhere once that it is believed there would be enough land in Australia alone to house the entire current population with their own small plots of land. I find this difficult to believe, and perhaps this was just some kooks opinion as I have no reliable source, BUT I think one would be surprised how badly land is misused all around the world. How much is suitable for returning to pastureland, in the first few generations anyway, I do not know.
I also agree that one shouldn't try to save everyone with this diet, as even with the knowledge many couldn't be forced to do so, or even acknowledge and change their worst of habits.
Kook for sure, Australia is mostly desert. It's dry and has terrible soil for the most part. We are already over populated. Around 21 million now and I think there were 300 000 aborigines originally.
We are running out of water and suffering soil erosion and salinity issues.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: KD on April 21, 2010, 12:28:55 pm
Yeah, I knew at the time and now that if one considered land quality, there would be no way this could be true. I don't even remember what I'm referring to, but I imagine they must have only been going on total land mass and how it actually compares to individuals.
As a disclaimer, because of the actual geography this is almost totally useless information, but I crunched some numbers anyway
2,970,000 sq miles in Aus
which means 6bil could be divided into 0.000495 sq mile plots 0.3168 acres which is roughly 13,000 sq ft per individual, even though the population of course includes many dependents.
I think it is interesting the physical relationship of land to people. Maybe we can build dubai like cities with massive skyscrapers in all the deserts where all the civilized can live off whatever gourmet runoff of the extended pastureland and wild food food forests.
for the world (again not considering actual geography, just being not-water) it works out to about 6 acres per each 6bil
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: cherimoya_kid on April 21, 2010, 12:32:04 pm
Vat-grown meat and hydroponics will eventually, I think, take care of what the land can't do.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: TylerDurden on April 21, 2010, 04:23:44 pm
I reckon that a much higher population than 650 million could be raised on grassfed land. And a lot more if the concept of palaeo foods was widened to include insects as well. The Aborigines had (live) witchetty grubs as a staple, for example. Obviously, with a change to a rawpalaeodiet from a cooked,palaeodiet, there would be even more land available as restaurants/factories etc. wouldn't need space for cooking ovens, microwave ovens etc. etc.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 21, 2010, 07:34:09 pm
More than a billion, Tyler? I already twice indicated the possibility of a billion.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Paleo Donk on April 21, 2010, 08:22:54 pm
This is taken from The Vegetarian Myth by Lierre Kieth
A ten acre mid-atlantic farm of perennial polycoluture would produce
She comes up with about 7 million calories per year, which is another issue but I did the math on this and came up with a similar estimate so I'll stick with this for now. Assuming we need 2500-3000 calories per day, this would be around 900k-1 million calories per year, so this lot would feed about 7 people. Keith actually says 9 people, but this on 2000 calories a day, which I don't think is a good estimate. This is assuming zero-carb of course but, I'm looking for a very general estimate so the specifics do not matter here yet.
I think she has farmland acreage estimates in her book but I'm going to use this government site - http://www.ers.usda.gov/StateFacts/US.htm
The US has 2.26 billion acres of which 41 percent of which is farmland or 922 million acres. This is broken down to the following
Harvested cropland - 310 million acres Woodland - 75 million Pastureland - 410 million
If we used all the pastureland and harvested cropland for the above (720 million acres) and using the figure of .7 people fed per acre, this alone would be able to feed 500 million people. Obviously, there are a lot of assumptions here, namely that all the cropland would be able to produce equally and that Kieth's .7 people per acre figure is correct. Even if we take half of this figure, the US is nearly fully self-sustainable.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: majormark on April 21, 2010, 10:38:56 pm
^ interesting. So we dont have to go around killing people than?
Well maybe just for fun :-).
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Squall on April 22, 2010, 02:32:01 am
Reading this thread is like reading bad economics. The majority of you appear to be making reverse Malthusian arguments. Only problem is, Malthus, and all of his doom-saying descendants, have been systematically wrong. Mainly this is because they misunderstand some fundamental aspects of markets.
Whether or not the world will ever be able to sustain billions of people on an RPD-style diet is not a question anyone can really answer in the present. Nor do they need to. That is merely a production/distribution problem for future suppliers who will have different information than we do. Whether or not they solve that problem isn't so much a matter of possibility as it is profitability. If prices for grass-fed beef are so high because demand is so high, entrepreneurs will be signaled into those markets where they can innovate, reduce prices, and generate profits.
Malthus discounted the role of profit-driven innovation in his equations, and in your discourse many of you are doing the same thing. Believe it or not, food distribution problems aren't really problems for consumers to solve. These problems are entrepreneurial problems. The risk of solving them will be voluntarily accepted by future entrepreneurs in anticipation of profit using information we don't have and innovations we would never have thought of.
Furthermore, I don't think any of you have to worry about increased demand cutting off your supply. The more people consuming grass-fed meat will most likely drop the price in the long-term, absent of course any legislative meddling.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: Raw Kyle on April 22, 2010, 04:53:24 am
Profit driven innovation is what gave us mass grain agriculture in the first place.
It's just like the organic label, as soon as large corporations and shady governments got their hands on it the label was rendered mostly pointless. Dole organic bananas? I bet they are very stringent...being overseen by the always moral USA government.
Trying to pull more profits out of nature shows every time that there are no free lunches and you can't create anything that isn't there. All of the larger fruits and vegetables of today simply have less micro nutrients and leave behind poorer soil in their wake. The same thing will happen if technology, driven by profit, starts trying to "innovate" grass fed agriculture. I'm actually a pretty firm believer that there isn't even a such thing as efficiency, there is just choosing to do or not to do certain work.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: yon yonson on April 22, 2010, 08:39:43 am
yes, efficiency is not the answer. jevon's paradox shows that efficiency actually increase overall consumption:
i think it's pretty ironic that most "green" minded individuals blindly support efficiency...
Cool I've never heard of that. I don't want to get blasted but I think in the physics sense efficiency doesn't exist. You can stop wasting things, but if you want something to be done, all ways to it in the end use the same amount of energy. The only efficiency is stop doing things that you don't need to be doing, like carting water around when people could be drinking local water, stuff like that.
Title: Re: youtube video of long-term primal dieter
Post by: PaleoPhil on April 22, 2010, 11:08:06 am
Oh well, I guess we don't need Tyler's reign of terror after all. Boo hoo! ;)
The trouble is we do. That is, as technology increases(even if population doesn't increase further), the negative effect of each one individual on the environment will correspondingly increase, no matter how theoretically benevolent that person may be to wildlife etc. I envision a concrete-/plastic-ridden future, otherwise, in which so-called futuristic "national parks" only consist of 2 or 3 trees with the land being no more than half an acre across.
Though, for obvious reasons, no one would allow IQ-selection to be a factor in determining population-decrease, as most people are of average intelligence. A simpler solution would be to heavily tax anyone with more than 1 child, give far more rights(or money) to childless people( which would be taken away if they get children in future etc.).